Caldas vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
54.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
8º
6º
30
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 13 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
PER
1 - 2
CAL
33%
26%
41%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 0
SCP
34%
26%
40%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 2
ACA
27%
25%
48%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
OLI
2 - 1
CAL
24%
25%
51%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
CAL
2 - 2
AMO
52%
25%
24%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SPC
3 - 2
ACA
48%
25%
26%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
SPC
2 - 0
AMO
67%
20%
13%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 1
SPC
14%
22%
65%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ALV
2 - 2
SPC
30%
26%
44%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
SPC
0 - 0
1DE
75%
17%
9%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |