Caldas vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
54.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
8º
6º
30
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 13 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
PER
1 - 2
CAL
33%
26%
41%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 0
SCP
34%
26%
40%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 2
ACA
27%
25%
48%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
OLI
2 - 1
CAL
24%
25%
51%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
CAL
2 - 2
AMO
52%
25%
24%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SPC
3 - 2
ACA
48%
25%
26%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
SPC
2 - 0
AMO
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 1
SPC
14%
22%
65%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ALV
2 - 2
SPC
30%
26%
44%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
SPC
0 - 0
1DE
75%
17%
9%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |