Caldas vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
31.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1959 |
FCB
3 - 2
CAL
74%
16%
10%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1959 |
CAL
1 - 6
BEL
20%
22%
59%
|
56 | 81 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1959 |
SLB
3 - 0
CAL
91%
6%
3%
|
57 | 88 | 31 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 1958 |
CAL
0 - 0
SPC
47%
23%
30%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 1958 |
CAL
2 - 1
ACA
47%
23%
30%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1959 |
SPB
3 - 1
VIT
54%
21%
25%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1959 |
FAB
3 - 1
SPB
58%
21%
22%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1959 |
SPB
0 - 0
SCP
29%
23%
47%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1958 |
LGC
3 - 1
SPB
60%
20%
20%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1958 |
VST
2 - 0
SPB
57%
20%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |