Caldas vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
27.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1957 |
FCB
4 - 1
CAL
70%
17%
13%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1957 |
CAL
3 - 0
ORI
54%
21%
24%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1957 |
SLB
5 - 1
CAL
91%
6%
3%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1957 |
CAL
1 - 2
VST
47%
22%
31%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1957 |
SAL
5 - 2
CAL
70%
16%
14%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1957 |
SPB
5 - 1
FAB
71%
16%
13%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1957 |
FCB
3 - 1
SPB
60%
20%
20%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1957 |
SPB
0 - 5
SCP
22%
22%
56%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1957 |
ORI
1 - 1
SPB
48%
24%
28%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1957 |
SPB
3 - 2
BEL
31%
24%
45%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |