Caldas vs Benfica Castelo Branco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
41.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
ADN
1 - 1
CAL
53%
25%
22%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
CAL
2 - 2
OLE
40%
27%
33%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
PEN
0 - 2
CAL
26%
26%
48%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
TOR
1 - 0
CAL
61%
22%
16%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
CAL
3 - 0
MAC
87%
10%
3%
|
39 | 14 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
BEN
0 - 0
SIN
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 1
BEN
59%
23%
18%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
BEN
1 - 0
TOR
55%
24%
21%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
BEN
0 - 2
UDL
38%
25%
37%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
IRI
0 - 2
BEN
23%
25%
52%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |