Caldas vs Sacavenense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.9%
29%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
38.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
LOU
0 - 2
CAL
11%
17%
72%
|
43 | 15 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
SIN
2 - 2
CAL
62%
22%
16%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
CAL
1 - 2
COR
69%
20%
11%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
ALC
1 - 1
CAL
50%
25%
25%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
CAL
3 - 0
OLE
57%
24%
19%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Sacavenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
SAC
2 - 0
1DE
56%
24%
20%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
SAC
1 - 2
TOR
50%
26%
24%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
LUS
1 - 0
SAC
20%
27%
53%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
REA
2 - 1
SAC
52%
26%
23%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
SAC
2 - 1
FAR
31%
26%
42%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |