Caldas vs Peniche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
12.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
+120%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
CAL
1 - 0
BEL
8%
18%
74%
|
44 | 70 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2018 |
NAC
3 - 1
CAL
85%
12%
4%
|
44 | 68 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
CAL
0 - 3
SCG
76%
17%
8%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
CAL
1 - 2
AVE
8%
16%
76%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
PER
1 - 1
CAL
14%
23%
64%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Peniche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
CAL
5 - 2
PEN
64%
23%
13%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 0
SER
14%
23%
62%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | +3 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
PEN
2 - 1
CRA
29%
25%
46%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
VIT
0 - 0
PEN
55%
23%
22%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
PEN
0 - 1
ALC
15%
24%
61%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | -1 |