Caldas vs Peniche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
17.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
12.7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+62%
+126%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
CRA
0 - 2
CAL
21%
24%
55%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
CAL
3 - 2
VIT
55%
25%
20%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 0
CAL
37%
27%
35%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 0
ADM
59%
24%
17%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
NAV
3 - 0
CAL
22%
27%
51%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Peniche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 0
SER
14%
23%
62%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
PEN
2 - 1
CRA
29%
25%
46%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
VIT
0 - 0
PEN
55%
23%
22%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
PEN
0 - 1
ALC
15%
24%
61%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ADM
3 - 1
PEN
55%
21%
23%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -2 |