Caldas vs Oriental Lisboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
54.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
TOU
4 - 0
CAL
42%
26%
32%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
CAL
2 - 3
TOR
23%
25%
52%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
SER
4 - 0
CAL
53%
24%
24%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CAL
2 - 2
CAR
34%
26%
40%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
MON
0 - 1
CAL
37%
25%
38%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
ORI
2 - 0
EVN
73%
18%
9%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
1DE
0 - 0
ORI
20%
24%
56%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ORI
1 - 0
MOU
75%
17%
8%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ORI
1 - 1
TOU
74%
17%
9%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
TOR
0 - 0
ORI
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |