Caldas vs Oriental Lisboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
24.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1957 |
SLB
5 - 1
CAL
91%
6%
3%
|
57 | 88 | 31 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1957 |
CAL
1 - 2
VST
47%
22%
31%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1957 |
SAL
5 - 2
CAL
70%
16%
14%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1957 |
CAL
1 - 0
TOR
50%
23%
27%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1957 |
FAB
3 - 1
CAL
66%
18%
16%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1957 |
ORI
2 - 1
FCB
52%
23%
25%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1957 |
ORI
1 - 1
SPB
48%
24%
28%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1957 |
SLB
7 - 0
ORI
80%
12%
8%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1957 |
ORI
0 - 0
VST
47%
23%
29%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1957 |
SAL
4 - 1
ORI
64%
18%
18%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |