Caldas vs Oriental Lisboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
23.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1956 |
BEL
3 - 2
CAL
86%
9%
5%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1956 |
CAL
2 - 1
TIR
52%
20%
28%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1956 |
TOR
1 - 0
CAL
65%
19%
17%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1956 |
CAL
3 - 0
FAB
49%
22%
29%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 1956 |
BEL
3 - 1
CAL
91%
6%
3%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1954 |
ORI
1 - 4
ATL
35%
22%
43%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1954 |
ATL
2 - 2
ORI
73%
14%
14%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1954 |
VST
4 - 1
ORI
65%
19%
16%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1954 |
ORI
2 - 1
SPB
48%
23%
29%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1954 |
LGC
6 - 2
ORI
66%
19%
16%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |