Caldas vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
17.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 0
CAL
29%
25%
46%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
CAL
1 - 0
ALC
37%
27%
36%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
OLE
2 - 1
CAL
14%
21%
66%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
CAL
0 - 0
CAR
67%
21%
12%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
MAF
3 - 2
CAL
55%
25%
20%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
NAV
0 - 2
OLE
49%
22%
29%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
NAV
2 - 5
CAR
54%
22%
25%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
MAF
14 - 1
NAV
70%
20%
10%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
NAV
2 - 4
VIT
52%
22%
26%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
NAV
1 - 0
ALC
23%
24%
52%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | +3 |