Caldas vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
16.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SER
0 - 0
CAL
37%
27%
36%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ADM
1 - 1
CAL
21%
24%
55%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 1
BEN
43%
29%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
UDL
0 - 0
CAL
55%
25%
21%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
VIT
0 - 0
CAL
20%
24%
56%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
NAV
0 - 0
PEN
55%
22%
23%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
SER
0 - 0
NAV
62%
22%
17%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
NAV
1 - 2
ADM
63%
19%
18%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
BEN
2 - 1
NAV
67%
20%
13%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
NAV
0 - 1
UDL
18%
25%
57%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | 0 |