Caldas vs Moura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
9.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
EVN
1 - 0
CAL
22%
24%
54%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
POR
7 - 2
CAL
70%
18%
13%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
ACA
11 - 0
CAL
70%
17%
13%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -5 |
| 15 Mar. 1959 |
CAL
2 - 1
TOR
55%
22%
23%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1959 |
CAL
1 - 2
VIT
44%
24%
32%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
MOU
1 - 1
MON
53%
23%
24%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |