Caldas vs Moncarapachense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
49.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
1º
8º
6º
17
4º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 0
OLI
39%
25%
36%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
GDF
1 - 1
CAL
69%
19%
12%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 3
USA
51%
24%
26%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
AMO
0 - 1
CAL
64%
22%
14%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
COV
1 - 1
CAL
69%
19%
12%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Moncarapachense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MON
0 - 1
GDF
52%
25%
23%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SCP
2 - 3
MON
43%
26%
32%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
REC
2 - 1
MON
36%
27%
37%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
BEL
0 - 1
MON
71%
19%
10%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
MON
0 - 0
OLH
52%
25%
23%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |