Caldas vs Lusitano GC Évora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
35%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1955 |
CAL
2 - 0
SPC
42%
24%
35%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1955 |
FCB
1 - 1
CAL
75%
15%
10%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1955 |
CAL
0 - 1
SLB
8%
15%
77%
|
54 | 88 | 34 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1955 |
SPB
4 - 1
CAL
80%
13%
8%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1955 |
CAL
1 - 0
ATL
42%
23%
35%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1955 |
LGC
1 - 1
FCB
61%
19%
19%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1955 |
SLB
1 - 1
LGC
84%
10%
6%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1955 |
SPB
0 - 2
LGC
68%
16%
15%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1955 |
ATL
3 - 3
LGC
62%
18%
20%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1955 |
VST
5 - 1
LGC
55%
20%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |