Caldas vs Loures analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
27%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
CAL
3 - 0
LOU
39%
27%
34%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
TOR
4 - 0
CAL
69%
19%
12%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 0
SIN
47%
25%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 1
ALV
19%
25%
56%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 1
PER
60%
23%
18%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Loures
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
CAL
3 - 0
LOU
39%
27%
34%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
LOU
1 - 0
PER
67%
20%
13%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
1DE
1 - 0
LOU
21%
26%
53%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
LOU
1 - 0
USA
47%
23%
31%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
LOU
1 - 2
LOU
12%
23%
65%
|
34 | 13 | 21 | +1 |