Caldas vs Louletano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
FAT
3 - 2
CAL
51%
24%
24%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
CAL
0 - 2
PIN
60%
22%
17%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
JUV
3 - 0
CAL
19%
23%
58%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CAL
2 - 0
MAF
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
CAL
1 - 1
MOU
73%
17%
10%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Louletano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
LOU
2 - 1
EVN
45%
25%
30%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
1DE
2 - 0
LOU
48%
25%
28%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
LOU
0 - 1
ORI
21%
25%
54%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
TOU
1 - 1
LOU
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
LOU
1 - 1
TOR
22%
25%
52%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | +1 |