Caldas vs FC Barreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
26.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
VST
1 - 1
CAL
73%
15%
12%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1956 |
CAL
4 - 2
ORI
56%
21%
24%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1956 |
BEL
3 - 2
CAL
86%
9%
5%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1956 |
CAL
2 - 1
TIR
52%
20%
28%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1956 |
TOR
1 - 0
CAL
65%
19%
17%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FC Barreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
FCB
3 - 1
FAB
62%
20%
19%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1956 |
FCP
4 - 0
FCB
80%
12%
8%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1956 |
FCB
1 - 5
MAR
48%
20%
32%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1956 |
FCB
3 - 1
LGC
58%
20%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1956 |
VST
2 - 3
FCB
60%
20%
20%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |