Caldas vs FC Barreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
24.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1956 |
SLB
3 - 0
CAL
92%
6%
3%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1956 |
CAL
0 - 0
SPB
47%
22%
30%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1956 |
ATL
1 - 1
CAL
74%
15%
11%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1956 |
CAL
3 - 1
VST
43%
22%
35%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +2 |
| 08 Jan. 1956 |
CAL
2 - 2
TOR
52%
22%
26%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FC Barreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1956 |
SPC
4 - 0
FCB
65%
19%
16%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1956 |
FCB
2 - 4
SLB
17%
20%
63%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1956 |
SPB
1 - 1
FCB
63%
20%
18%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1956 |
FCB
3 - 2
ATL
50%
23%
27%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 1956 |
FCB
1 - 0
VST
46%
23%
32%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |