Caldas vs Fatima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
42.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
CAL
2 - 1
ATL
79%
15%
7%
|
39 | 16 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
UDL
1 - 0
CAL
69%
19%
12%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
CAL
2 - 0
ADP
75%
16%
9%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
CAR
3 - 3
CAL
47%
23%
31%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
CAL
1 - 1
MAF
21%
26%
53%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
FAT
0 - 0
MAF
37%
27%
37%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 3
FAT
13%
20%
67%
|
47 | 17 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
FAT
1 - 0
ALC
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
UDL
0 - 0
FAT
63%
22%
15%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
FAT
2 - 3
TOR
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |