Caldas vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
29.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1956 |
BEL
3 - 1
CAL
91%
6%
3%
|
56 | 83 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1956 |
CAL
3 - 3
FCP
13%
19%
68%
|
56 | 85 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1956 |
ACA
2 - 2
CAL
79%
13%
8%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1956 |
CAL
0 - 2
SCP
9%
15%
76%
|
57 | 88 | 31 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1956 |
LGC
7 - 3
CAL
72%
17%
12%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1956 |
FAB
1 - 1
FCB
62%
20%
19%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1956 |
SLB
3 - 2
FAB
84%
10%
6%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1956 |
FAB
2 - 2
SPB
62%
19%
19%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1956 |
ATL
7 - 2
FAB
62%
18%
20%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 1956 |
FAB
3 - 2
VST
58%
20%
22%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |