Caldas vs Crato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
16%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
17.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
9.7%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 1
CAL
23%
24%
53%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 0
ALC
46%
27%
28%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ADM
0 - 3
CAL
21%
23%
56%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 0
NAV
58%
25%
17%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SER
0 - 0
CAL
37%
27%
36%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CRA
2 - 0
PEN
30%
24%
47%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CRA
1 - 1
SER
13%
20%
67%
|
23 | 46 | 23 | +3 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
VIT
2 - 1
CRA
67%
19%
14%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CRA
0 - 2
ALC
14%
20%
67%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ADM
1 - 0
CRA
66%
19%
16%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |