Caldas vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.1%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
77.1%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.4%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.7%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1955 |
SPB
4 - 1
CAL
80%
13%
8%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1955 |
CAL
1 - 0
ATL
42%
23%
35%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1955 |
VST
3 - 0
CAL
75%
15%
10%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1955 |
SLB
4 - 1
FCB
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1955 |
SLB
2 - 2
SPC
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1955 |
SPB
2 - 3
SLB
24%
22%
55%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1955 |
SLB
2 - 1
SCP
62%
18%
20%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1955 |
SLB
6 - 0
ACA
85%
10%
6%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | +1 |