Caldas vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
60.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1958 |
LGC
1 - 2
CAL
75%
15%
10%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1958 |
CAL
2 - 1
ACA
32%
22%
46%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1958 |
FCP
3 - 1
CAL
92%
6%
2%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1958 |
SPB
1 - 0
CAL
72%
16%
12%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 1958 |
CAL
1 - 0
FCB
52%
22%
26%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1958 |
BEL
3 - 2
FCB
83%
11%
6%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1958 |
ORI
0 - 1
BEL
21%
24%
55%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1958 |
BEL
2 - 1
SLB
39%
22%
39%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1958 |
VST
1 - 1
BEL
33%
24%
43%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 1958 |
BEL
6 - 2
SAL
88%
8%
4%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | +1 |