Caldas vs Riachense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
UDL
1 - 3
CAL
63%
22%
15%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 4
CAL
28%
26%
47%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CAL
1 - 0
FAT
47%
27%
26%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CAL
1 - 1
SAN
57%
25%
19%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
TOR
0 - 0
CAL
51%
25%
25%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Riachense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 0
ATL
60%
20%
20%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 1
BEN
22%
24%
55%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | +4 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
FAT
3 - 3
ATL
66%
19%
15%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 2
TOR
25%
24%
51%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ATL
3 - 2
PRA
24%
24%
53%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | +2 |