Caldas vs Atlético Ouriense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
11.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
FAT
1 - 1
CAL
29%
26%
45%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
CAL
0 - 1
TOR
48%
26%
27%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
SER
0 - 1
CAL
54%
24%
23%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CAL
5 - 1
ALC
50%
25%
25%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
ELE
1 - 0
CAL
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Ouriense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 1
UDL
17%
22%
62%
|
27 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 1
FAT
29%
24%
47%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
TOR
2 - 1
ATL
72%
18%
10%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 3
SER
16%
22%
62%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 5
ALC
25%
23%
52%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -2 |