Caldas vs FC Alverca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
SER
1 - 1
CAL
38%
29%
34%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
CAL
3 - 1
FAT
37%
27%
36%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
OLI
0 - 1
CAL
60%
23%
17%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
CAL
1 - 1
LOU
50%
24%
25%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
ALC
0 - 0
CAL
10%
17%
73%
|
38 | 15 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
ALV
1 - 0
UDL
17%
23%
61%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
ALV
2 - 1
ANA
19%
24%
58%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | +3 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
SER
1 - 1
ALV
54%
23%
24%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
ALV
3 - 2
IRI
62%
19%
19%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
BEN
0 - 0
ALV
77%
16%
8%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |