Caldas vs Alcains analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.9%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.1%
4%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+78%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 0
CAL
59%
23%
18%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
BEN
3 - 1
CAL
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
CAL
1 - 0
ADN
54%
25%
21%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
OLE
1 - 1
CAL
34%
27%
40%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
CAL
0 - 0
PEN
67%
21%
12%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Alcains
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
VIT
1 - 0
ALC
67%
19%
14%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
ALC
1 - 2
UDL
8%
19%
73%
|
18 | 54 | 36 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
IRI
0 - 1
ALC
69%
17%
15%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
ALC
2 - 2
ALV
18%
20%
63%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
SER
1 - 0
ALC
86%
10%
4%
|
17 | 43 | 26 | 0 |