Caldas vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
45.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1958 |
FCP
3 - 1
CAL
92%
6%
2%
|
59 | 87 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1958 |
SPB
1 - 0
CAL
72%
16%
12%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 1958 |
CAL
1 - 0
FCB
52%
22%
26%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1958 |
ORI
0 - 0
CAL
56%
22%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1958 |
CAL
3 - 2
SLB
9%
16%
75%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | +1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1958 |
ACA
4 - 0
FCB
64%
19%
17%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1958 |
ORI
1 - 3
ACA
40%
25%
35%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1958 |
ACA
0 - 1
SLB
23%
22%
56%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1958 |
VST
1 - 0
ACA
47%
23%
31%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1958 |
ACA
3 - 1
SAL
74%
15%
11%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |