Caldas vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
33.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1955 |
SCP
2 - 0
CAL
94%
4%
2%
|
57 | 88 | 31 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1955 |
CAL
3 - 1
LGC
42%
23%
35%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1955 |
CAL
2 - 0
SPC
42%
24%
35%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 1955 |
FCB
1 - 1
CAL
75%
15%
10%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1955 |
CAL
0 - 1
SLB
8%
15%
77%
|
54 | 88 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1955 |
ACA
3 - 1
FCB
64%
19%
18%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1955 |
SLB
4 - 0
ACA
85%
10%
6%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1955 |
ACA
4 - 1
SPB
55%
21%
24%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1955 |
ATL
4 - 2
ACA
59%
20%
21%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1955 |
ACA
2 - 1
VST
56%
20%
24%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |