Caldas vs 1º Dezembro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
22.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
8º
6º
11
4º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 13 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ATL
0 - 2
CAL
67%
20%
14%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SPC
4 - 3
CAL
71%
19%
11%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 2
PER
54%
25%
22%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SCP
1 - 3
CAL
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ACA
0 - 1
CAL
66%
20%
13%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
1º Dezembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
1DE
0 - 1
ACA
23%
25%
52%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
1DE
0 - 2
OLI
48%
27%
25%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
TON
2 - 1
1DE
79%
14%
7%
|
41 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
AMO
0 - 2
1DE
53%
24%
23%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
1DE
1 - 4
ALV
28%
28%
45%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -2 |