Caldas SC Sub 19 vs Nacional Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
37.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas SC Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CDF
2 - 1
CSC
59%
20%
22%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CSC
1 - 2
UDL
35%
22%
43%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ALC
3 - 2
CSC
45%
22%
33%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
ALC
0 - 1
CSC
50%
21%
29%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CSC
0 - 1
RSC
29%
22%
50%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SAC
2 - 2
NAC
41%
25%
35%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
NAC
3 - 1
CDF
38%
24%
39%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +2 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
UDL
1 - 0
NAC
57%
20%
23%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
MAF
3 - 0
NAC
69%
19%
12%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 1
ALC
49%
22%
28%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |