Caldas CF vs Santa Mariña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
44.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MIN
2 - 0
CAL
17%
19%
64%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 1
CAM
71%
17%
12%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ARC
1 - 2
CAL
33%
23%
44%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
CAL
2 - 1
CHA
57%
20%
24%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 4
CAL
9%
15%
76%
|
14 | 5 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Mariña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 0
UMI
53%
22%
25%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
PUE
0 - 7
MAR
27%
22%
52%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 0
MOR
85%
11%
5%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
PON
1 - 2
MAR
18%
20%
62%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 0
TYD
65%
19%
16%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |