Caldas CF vs Racing Castrelos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
9.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CUN
1 - 2
CAL
30%
22%
48%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CAL
4 - 0
VIL
76%
14%
10%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
TYD
1 - 4
CAL
32%
23%
46%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 3
MAR
34%
22%
44%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MIN
2 - 0
CAL
17%
19%
64%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Racing Castrelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 3
UMI
26%
22%
52%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
PUE
0 - 0
CAS
52%
21%
27%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
3 - 1
MOR
52%
21%
27%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
PON
1 - 3
CAS
30%
23%
47%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
3 - 2
MAR
41%
23%
37%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | +1 |