Calcio Portogruaro-Summaga vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
30.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calcio Portogruaro-Summaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2012 |
FCS
1 - 0
POR
43%
28%
29%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
POR
0 - 2
USC
35%
28%
37%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
REG
2 - 1
POR
42%
27%
32%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
POR
1 - 4
ABN
45%
27%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
FER
2 - 2
POR
31%
27%
42%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
PAV
1 - 0
REG
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
ABN
0 - 0
PAV
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
PAV
2 - 2
TRA
38%
27%
36%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
USC
0 - 1
PAV
66%
21%
13%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
PAV
2 - 2
LEC
10%
21%
69%
|
52 | 77 | 25 | +1 |