Padova vs Viterbese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
12.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
PIA
1 - 3
PAD
23%
26%
51%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 1
PAD
20%
24%
56%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
PAD
2 - 1
ACD
47%
25%
28%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
PAD
2 - 0
ABN
54%
26%
20%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2021 |
FER
1 - 0
PAD
33%
26%
41%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Viterbese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
VIT
2 - 1
ASG
40%
27%
34%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
VIT
2 - 3
PON
46%
25%
29%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
PIS
2 - 1
VIT
25%
27%
48%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
ANC
0 - 1
VIT
72%
16%
12%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
VIT
2 - 2
ANC
23%
26%
51%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |