Padova vs Venezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 1966 |
MOD
1 - 1
PAD
51%
27%
22%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1966 |
VER
1 - 1
PAD
50%
27%
23%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1966 |
PAD
4 - 1
MES
52%
27%
22%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 May. 1966 |
VNZ
3 - 1
PAD
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1966 |
PRO
2 - 1
PAD
45%
28%
27%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 1966 |
PAL
0 - 1
VNZ
42%
30%
28%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1966 |
VNZ
2 - 3
MOD
62%
23%
15%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1966 |
PIS
3 - 0
VNZ
41%
30%
29%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -2 |
| 29 May. 1966 |
VNZ
3 - 1
PAD
56%
25%
19%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1966 |
MES
3 - 0
VNZ
41%
30%
29%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |