Padova vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
14.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1962 |
FCC
3 - 1
PAD
38%
28%
34%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1962 |
INT
1 - 2
PAD
83%
11%
6%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 1962 |
PAD
1 - 0
LEC
64%
21%
16%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1962 |
COS
0 - 0
PAD
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1962 |
MES
2 - 1
PAD
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1962 |
TRI
1 - 0
USA
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1962 |
COM
4 - 2
TRI
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 1962 |
TRI
1 - 0
ASL
51%
26%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1962 |
USF
2 - 1
TRI
60%
22%
19%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1962 |
BAR
1 - 1
TRI
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |