Padova vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
27%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1934 |
PAL
2 - 1
PAD
49%
23%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1934 |
PAD
2 - 1
BRE
44%
24%
32%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1934 |
NAP
1 - 1
PAD
70%
16%
14%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1934 |
PAD
0 - 0
BOL
31%
25%
45%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1934 |
LEO
4 - 0
PAD
61%
20%
20%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1934 |
TOR
2 - 1
TRI
65%
19%
16%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1934 |
TRI
0 - 1
LIV
50%
23%
28%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1934 |
ACM
0 - 1
TRI
68%
18%
14%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1934 |
TRI
2 - 0
CAS
65%
19%
16%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1934 |
PAL
2 - 1
TRI
49%
24%
27%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |