Padova vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
25%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1930 |
USC
1 - 1
PAD
42%
23%
35%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1930 |
ACM
6 - 0
PAD
76%
14%
10%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 May. 1930 |
PAD
2 - 1
LAZ
28%
21%
51%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1930 |
PAD
5 - 0
LEO
46%
23%
31%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1930 |
PAD
0 - 0
GEN
23%
21%
57%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1930 |
TRI
1 - 0
USA
47%
23%
30%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1930 |
JUV
0 - 1
TRI
77%
14%
9%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1930 |
MOD
2 - 1
TRI
50%
22%
28%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1930 |
LIV
2 - 0
TRI
54%
21%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1930 |
TRI
1 - 2
INT
30%
25%
44%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |