Padova vs Pro Vercelli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
31.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1930 |
PAD
0 - 0
GEN
23%
21%
57%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1930 |
BOL
1 - 2
PAD
83%
11%
7%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1930 |
PAD
1 - 2
INT
32%
25%
43%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1930 |
LIV
4 - 3
PAD
54%
21%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1930 |
PAD
7 - 0
PRO
51%
22%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Pro Vercelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1930 |
USA
0 - 2
LEO
55%
20%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1930 |
LEO
3 - 2
USC
64%
18%
18%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1930 |
ROM
7 - 0
LEO
71%
16%
13%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1930 |
LEO
6 - 0
TRI
60%
19%
21%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1930 |
LEO
1 - 0
JUV
35%
25%
41%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | +1 |