Serie C Playoffs Ascenso Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Padova vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
27.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2021 |
PAD
1 - 3
REN
64%
23%
13%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
REN
1 - 3
PAD
19%
26%
55%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
PAD
1 - 0
SSS
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 1
PAD
27%
26%
47%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
MOD
3 - 0
PAD
27%
26%
46%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2021 |
FCS
1 - 0
AVE
37%
28%
35%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
AVE
2 - 0
FCS
46%
27%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2021 |
AVE
1 - 0
PAL
27%
27%
46%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
PAL
1 - 0
AVE
64%
21%
14%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
CAV
1 - 1
AVE
16%
25%
59%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | -1 |