Padova vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
30.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1990 |
REG
4 - 0
PAD
49%
30%
21%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1990 |
PAD
1 - 1
TRI
55%
27%
18%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1990 |
ANC
1 - 1
PAD
51%
30%
19%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1990 |
PAD
1 - 1
TOR
22%
30%
48%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1990 |
COM
2 - 0
PAD
52%
30%
17%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1990 |
AVE
0 - 1
PAR
46%
30%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1990 |
ASS
1 - 1
AVE
36%
31%
34%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1990 |
AVE
0 - 0
REG
52%
29%
19%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1990 |
AVE
1 - 0
FCC
59%
28%
13%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1990 |
ANC
1 - 0
AVE
43%
29%
28%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |