Padova vs FC Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
30.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
BV5
2 - 1
PAD
37%
28%
36%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
PAD
0 - 2
GER
67%
21%
12%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2016 |
ABN
2 - 4
PAD
13%
23%
63%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
PAD
3 - 1
PRO
78%
16%
7%
|
58 | 31 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CUN
1 - 1
PAD
15%
24%
61%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
FC Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
USA
0 - 1
REG
49%
28%
22%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
FCS
1 - 1
USA
25%
27%
49%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
USA
0 - 0
MAN
66%
22%
12%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
GER
0 - 3
USA
23%
26%
51%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2016 |
PAV
0 - 2
USA
39%
27%
34%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |