Padova vs FC Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
33.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1934 |
LIV
3 - 1
PAD
50%
22%
28%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1934 |
TOR
4 - 2
PAD
73%
15%
13%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 1934 |
PAD
1 - 0
ROM
23%
23%
54%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1934 |
GEN
1 - 0
PAD
66%
18%
16%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1933 |
PAD
1 - 2
JUV
23%
23%
55%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
FC Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1934 |
JUV
3 - 1
USA
81%
12%
7%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1934 |
USA
2 - 2
BOL
45%
24%
31%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1934 |
USA
1 - 0
TRI
64%
19%
18%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1933 |
LIV
3 - 2
USA
42%
24%
35%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 1933 |
ROM
5 - 1
USA
65%
19%
16%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |