Padova vs Udinese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
18.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
PAD
1 - 1
MAN
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1962 |
INT
2 - 1
PAD
80%
13%
7%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
BOL
4 - 1
PAD
65%
19%
16%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1961 |
JUV
4 - 0
PAD
85%
10%
5%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 1961 |
PAD
3 - 1
LEC
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
UDI
0 - 0
VNZ
53%
24%
22%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1962 |
UDI
2 - 3
FIO
17%
23%
60%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1962 |
UDI
0 - 1
MAN
47%
25%
29%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1962 |
ATL
2 - 1
UDI
55%
23%
22%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
UDI
0 - 1
ACM
23%
24%
53%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | -1 |