Padova vs Treviso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
17.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
PAV
2 - 1
PAD
53%
23%
24%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
ACM
1 - 0
PAD
61%
21%
18%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
PAD
3 - 0
BRE
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
VER
2 - 0
PAD
67%
19%
14%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
PAD
1 - 0
USA
56%
22%
22%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
TRE
3 - 2
CAT
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
TRE
0 - 0
MES
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
USA
3 - 2
TRE
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
ACM
4 - 0
TRE
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
TRE
0 - 0
FAN
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |