Padova vs Torino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
54.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
FIO
0 - 0
PAD
63%
19%
18%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
PAD
0 - 0
MOD
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
PAD
3 - 2
NOV
59%
21%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
BOL
0 - 0
PAD
62%
20%
18%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
LAZ
1 - 1
PAD
63%
19%
18%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
TOR
3 - 1
JUV
82%
11%
7%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
ASL
1 - 1
TOR
23%
24%
54%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
TOR
1 - 0
LIV
88%
8%
4%
|
91 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1949 |
TOR
2 - 1
SAM
90%
7%
4%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
ROM
1 - 2
TOR
24%
24%
53%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |