Padova vs Torino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
30.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1941 |
ASL
1 - 3
PAD
53%
21%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1941 |
PAD
6 - 1
SAL
61%
20%
19%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1940 |
PAD
6 - 1
ACM
61%
20%
19%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 1938 |
PAD
1 - 3
JUV
36%
26%
38%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1934 |
ROM
2 - 0
PAD
69%
18%
13%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1941 |
TOR
5 - 2
BRE
80%
13%
8%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1941 |
NAP
1 - 2
TOR
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1941 |
TOR
1 - 1
NAP
75%
14%
10%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1941 |
TOR
5 - 2
LIV
73%
15%
12%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1941 |
INT
0 - 2
TOR
72%
16%
11%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |