Padova vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
34.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
REG
1 - 0
PAD
62%
25%
13%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
PAD
0 - 0
LIV
47%
30%
24%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
CES
3 - 1
PAD
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1969 |
PAD
0 - 0
LAZ
40%
32%
28%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
PRG
2 - 0
PAD
57%
25%
19%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
TER
1 - 1
GEN
51%
26%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
PRG
2 - 0
TER
48%
26%
27%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
TER
1 - 0
FCC
59%
24%
18%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1969 |
TER
2 - 0
CAT
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
LAZ
3 - 1
TER
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |